The Fed's Crossroads: Why the 77% Probability of No Hike in July Is a Trap for Crypto Optimists
The crowd sees art; I see a leveraged liability. The CME FedWatch Tool shows ...
Law
•
CryptoAlpha
•
2026-07-07
Market Prices
BTC
Bitcoin
$63,105.6
-1.80%
ETH
Ethereum
$1,837.92
-2.84%
SOL
Solana
$74.79
-2.03%
BNB
BNB Chain
$564.9
-2.25%
XRP
XRP Ledger
$1.09
-2.06%
DOGE
Dogecoin
$0.0719
-2.04%
ADA
Cardano
$0.1614
-0.62%
AVAX
Avalanche
$6.5
-1.68%
DOT
Polkadot
$0.8571
+2.08%
LINK
Chainlink
$8.2
-2.84%
Event Calendar
202608
04
upgrade
Solana Firedancer
Independent validator client goes live on mainnet
22
03
unlock
Optimism Unlock
Circulating supply increases by about 2%
18
03
unlock
Sui Token Unlock
Team and early investor shares released
15
04
halving
Bitcoin Halving
Block reward reduced to 3.125 BTC
30
04
upgrade
Celestia Mainnet Upgrade
Improves data availability sampling efficiency
12
05
halving
BCH Halving
Block reward halving event
28
03
unlock
Arbitrum Token Unlock
92 million ARB released
10
05
upgrade
Ethereum Pectra Upgrade
Raises validator limit and account abstraction
Gas Tracker
Ethereum
28 Gwei
BNB Chain
3 Gwei
Polygon
42 Gwei
Arbitrum
0.5 Gwei
Optimism
0.3 Gwei
Tag Hub
💡 Smart Money
0xddcd...39a8
Institutional Custody
+$0.9M
64%
0x0900...c7fb
Institutional Custody
-$5.0M
72%
0x2be8...9886
Institutional Custody
-$0.4M
93%
#CME FedWatch
CME FedWatch related articles
Fear & Greed
27
Fear
Market Sentiment
Altseason Index
44
Bitcoin Season
BTC Dominance
Altseason
Market Cap
All →| # | Coin | Price |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bitcoin
BTC
|
$63,105.6 |
| 1 |
Ethereum
ETH
|
$1,837.92 |
| 1 |
Solana
SOL
|
$74.79 |
| 1 |
BNB Chain
BNB
|
$564.9 |
| 1 |
XRP Ledger
XRP
|
$1.09 |
| 1 |
Dogecoin
DOGE
|
$0.0719 |
| 1 |
Cardano
ADA
|
$0.1614 |
| 1 |
Avalanche
AVAX
|
$6.5 |
| 1 |
Polkadot
DOT
|
$0.8571 |
| 1 |
Chainlink
LINK
|
$8.2 |
🐋 Whale Tracker
🟢
0x1886...98e8
30m ago
In
302,967 DOGE
🟢
0x4a7f...c03d
3h ago
In
1,961,981 USDC
🔴
0x910d...9774
12h ago
Out
4,498.88 BTC